In business there is a common mantra that is is better to under-promise and over-deliver than to over-promise and under-deliver.
A vaild business cue, considering the socialogical persepctive on a revolt is that they occur when the expectation and reality become too far apart.
Talking it up by sports teams pre-season is not uncommon. There's not much to write about in what is called 'the silly season', so I can understand the media are hungry for stories.
Off-season is also filled with false hopes and a bit of bravado. I have a saying that reality sets in with the first referees whistle of the season.
Over my decades of observing and studying success in sport I have noticed that teams that talk up how 'fit' they are in the pre-season almost always under-deliver. Two reasons for this:
1. Firstly, there is limited if any correlation between generic measurements of 'fitness' (e.g. aerobic tests, skin folds tests etc) and the scoreboard in each game or the win-loss record at the end of the season.
2. Secondly those who lean on these non-specific measurements usually train long and hard for them. As a result they:
i. develop non-specific adaptations that need to be re-adapted to the game
ii. fade later in the season because they have used up the human reserves in tranining for and adapting to irrelevant physical qualities.
iii. they experience a higher injury toll as a result of too much training, of irreleveant types, over too long a period. (the body can only maintain high level training for a limited period of time - when this is exceeded performance declines and injury rate increasese).
My advice is to do your talking on the scoreboard. Don't get sucked in by:
a. those in the coaching program who seek to justify their position (e.g. physical preparation coaches) by saying 'See, look how fit and or strong the players are!"
b. those in the coaching program who seek to place too much focus on physical training (e.g. coaches), which means it also provides an excuse if the team loses
c. those in the coaching program who seek to sub-consciously seek to create injuries to provide an excuse for failure in advance
d. the media who want to hear about how 'tough' training is and how much players vomit
e. the general public who slave away at their jobs 40-80hrs a week and through envy want the players to suffer the same or more pain in return for recieving mutliple times more money than they do
Here is a great example of over-promising with the risk of under-delivering. It's not necessary. Take the ego out of it and have the courage to face the scoreboard instead!
Fitter and Faster - Tough training regime gives Titals edge
Damning statistics over the Bulldogs's fitness levels have given a buff Gold Coast squad reasons for cheer ahead of tomorrow's acid test at Telstra Stadium.
The Titals, already reaping the rewards from a torturous off-season spent with hard nosed trainer....are running out games hard - scoring 40 second half points in their past three outings, including their final trial game.
The NRL newcomer's returns are in stark contrast to an ailing Bulldogs side that leaded 74 points, and scored just six, in its past three second-half efforts.
The arthimetic is a timely boost for a Titans outfit bracking for battle with the Dogs, still without a win. "I reckone we're one of the fittest teams in the comp and it shows at the back end of every half", centre Jake Webster said.
"In games we've played, we've usually come back."
Seasond forward Mark Minichiello said "We'd be one of the fittest teams in the comp. We've done all the training asked of us and ....'s been very happy. I haven't had a harder off-season."
Gold Coast has wasted no time showing off its first-rate condition, reeling in a 14-point deficit against the Dragons only to fall just short, while overpowering the Sharks after trailing 16-6.
"We're holding in," hooker Clint Attos said.
"That comes down to fitness, it comes down to mental hardness and we thank .... for that."
The NRL's lightest starting prop, Kris Kahler, also praised his squad's fitness. "You can definitely see tha at the end of halves - and at the end of games - we come home pretty strongly," the 97 kg enforcer said. "We're definitely not as heavy as other sides. That shows in how we play."
In contrast, the Bulldogs have become second-half whipping boys in a trend dating back to September's preliminary final loss to eventual premiers Brisbane....
Drained skin folds have been the major factor in the Titans upping their pain trheshold as ....'s clipboard illustrates.
"A lot of our blokes look at themselves in the mirro and think they're skinny, but they haven't lost weight. There's just no as much fat," .... said.
"Scott Prince arrived here 80kg, he's still 80kg, but he got here with 70ml of body fat, now hes at 57mm. It's all about lean body mass."
"Luke Swain has lost two kilos but he's lost 11ml of fat."
Titan's coach John Cartwright makes no secret of his fitness-focused directive.
"The game is only going to get quicker," Cartwright said. "You need mobile blokes."
(Marshall, M. and Mascord, S., 2007, Fitter and Faster - Tough training regime gives Titals edge, The Courier Mail, March 31 2007, p. 117.)
Now the season is not over, so it's too early to draw cause-effect correlations in relation to position in the final results, but the injury incidence has a message all of it's own...note these articles are only 3-4 months after the one above.
Injury blow as Raiders belt Titans, Luke Turgeon, 16Jul07 Gold Coast Bulletin
TITANS skipper Scott Prince will be sidelined for the next three weeks while star winger Matt Petersen's season could be over, adding injury to insult after the Gold Coast was yesterday thrashed by Canberra 56-10.
It was the Titans' biggest defeat in their short history in the NRL.
Playmaker Prince was forced from the field in the 47th minute, re-injuring his collarbone after landing awkwardly in a tackle.
Prince, who first damaged the sternoclavicular joint against the Broncos last round, was confident he would miss only the match against the Bulldogs at Carrara on Friday.
But Titans team doctor Paul Ohmsen said Prince would now have to rest for three weeks in order to give the injury sufficient time to heal.
"He has just got to be resigned to the fact that he has got an injury and he has to treat it," said Ohmsen. "He has been treating it and he was fine before the game, he was 100 per cent.
"But when he fell over on the sideline (in the tackle) he re-injured it."
Petersen, the Titans leading try scorer, will go for scans on his right knee on the Gold Coast today.
Early indications are that Petersen will miss six weeks with a posterior cruciate tear but there are also fears for his anterior cruciate ligament, which if damaged would mean the end of his season.
Adding to the Titans' already huge injury toll, centre Luke O'Dwyer will miss at least one week with a shoulder injury.
The fresh injury concerns capped a nightmare trip to the nation's capital which ended in humiliation for the Titans.
Their previous worst loss was 28-10 against the Dragons in round 10.
The loss of Prince for nearly a month throws the Titans' season into uncharted territory, with the halfback having played in every game so far this year for the NRL new boys.
If Newcastle beat the Storm tonight the Titans, who just a few weeks ago were sitting fourth on the NRL ladder, will slide to 11th. The Titans need to win at least four of their remaining seven games to take control of their own destiny and be considered a genuine threat to make the playoffs.
"We are going to have to win most of them (remaining games) to get a crack at the semi-finals," said Prince.
"We are just going to have to lick our wounds and prepare for the Bulldogs on Friday night.
"It is disappointing. But take nothing away from the Raiders, they play good footy at home."
Petersen was trying to remain positive and not think about the worst-case scenario with his knee.
The latest bout of injuries will also be a big test for the Titans depth, which was already considered stretched to its limit following injuries to Michael Henderson (broken leg), Brad Meyers (knee), Richie Mathers (knee), Michael Hodgson (knee), Mat Rogers (knee), Anthony Laffranchi (knee), James Stosic (knee), Chris Walker (knee) and Clint Amos (concussion).
Cartwright could be forced to blood one of the exciting youngsters in his ranks, like Australian schoolboys Shannon Walker or Will Matthews.
Preston Campbell will probably move into the halves and Smith Samau to fullback. Jake Webster or Josh Graham will take O'Dwyer's centre spot.
Titans co-captain Luke Bailey said his troops need to get back on track mentally or face annihilation by the Bulldogs.
Titans to kick on despite standing room only in medical rooms, Luke Turgeon, 17Jul 07 Gold Coast Bulletin
THE Gold Coast Titans yesterday put on a united front in the wake of their heaviest defeat, defiantly declaring 'we are not dead yet' despite a horror injury toll and the loss of skipper Scott Prince.
Almost half of the Titans top squad are sidelined through injury, with 12 of their 29 recognised first graders making up the almost overflowing casualty ward.
Co-captain Prince will miss three weeks after aggravating his collarbone injury during the record 56-10 loss in Canberra on Sunday.
Star winger Matt Petersen received some positive news, with his knee injury not as bad as first thought. But he will still face two to three weeks out alongside centre Luke O'Dwyer (shoulder).
The Titans felt the full fall-out from the Raiders bashing at yesterday's recovery session at Miami pool.
They will look to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the Bulldogs at Carrara on Friday night, and salvage their season with the finals fast approaching.
"As a club we were embarrassed by the (56-10) score line but we will be treating it like a one off," said Titans coach John Cartwright.
"The players want to get back on the paddock, they would have played today if they could. We are in the hunt for a semi-finals spot and no one is losing sight of that.
"There are seven rounds to go and that is a long time in this competition."
Prince said he had never seen anything like the Titans devastating injury list during his 10 seasons in the NRL.
The club's depth is being stretched to its limits, with a few more injuries meaning they would have to draw players from feeder clubs Tweed, Burleigh and Ipswich in the Queensland Cup.
"The massive challenge was going to be the injury factor, and at the moment it is the worst I have ever seen it with so many injuries in the one club," said Prince.
"It is a challenging time for us and hopefully we can come out the other side a better team and a better club for it.
"All the boys, we seem to be losing them ... they are dropping like flies."
The loss of Prince for three matches is a savage blow to the Titans in the run towards the play-offs, but the inspirational playmaker backed his teammates to continue the charge.
Five-eighth Josh Lewis will shift to halfback, with Preston Campbell or Matt Hilder moving to the No.6 jumper.
Prince has not missed an NRL match since round one in 2004, playing 90 straight.
"We worked so hard to turn up on the day (against Canberra) and to get punished is demoralising," said Prince.
"But the beauty about rugby league is there is always next week and we have to turn it around.
"There is still a lot of football to be played yet.
"I have all the faith in the world in the guys that are going to come into the squad.
"(Josh Lewis) has played halfback before and I think he will do the job really well.
"He knows how to play, he doesn't need me in his ear every five minutes.
"Now it is up to Bails (Luke Bailey) and Preston (Campbell) and the other senior blokes to raise the bar and work hard. It is a team of 17 so they will all have to put their hands up and be counted."
ps. In the second article above you’ll see it says “12 of the 29 recognised first grade players making up the almost overflowing casualty ward”. The media forgot to mention that a further 2 players who did their ACL’s during the titan’s pre-season and another snapped his patella tendon approx 1 month ago who also trained with the titan’s since Nov 2006
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